Sports calculators

Hedge Calculator

Updated Aug 17, 2026 By Jehan Wadia
Rate Formulas

Bet Details

Odds Format
American uses +150 / −120 style prices. Decimal uses 2.50 / 1.83 style prices. Switching converts any valid odds already entered.
The amount you originally risked on the first bet.
The price you got on your original ticket.
The current price on the opposite outcome.
100%
Share of the full optimal hedge stake you intend to place. Summary cards always show the 100% full-hedge reference.
FULL HEDGE REFERENCE (100%)
Recommended Hedge Stake
$180.00
Full hedge — guarantees equal result on both outcomes.
FULL HEDGE REFERENCE (100%)
Guaranteed Profit (Equal Hedge)
+$20.00
Net result locked in on either outcome at the full hedge stake.
Implied Probabilities
Original Bet Implied Probability33.33%
Hedge Bet Implied Probability60.00%
Combined93.33%
Market VigNo Vig Detected

Outcome Breakdown at Your Current Hedge Percentage

Based on a hedge stake of $180.00 (100% of the full equal-profit hedge).

If Original Bet Wins
Implied Probability33.33%
Original Bet Net Profit+$200.00
Hedge Bet Net Profit / Loss−$180.00
Combined Net+$20.00
If Hedge Bet Wins
Implied Probability60.00%
Original Bet Net Profit / Loss−$100.00
Hedge Bet Net Profit+$120.00
Combined Net+$20.00
Step-by-Step Solution

Equal Profit — Unbiased Hedge

Bet slip for the equal-profit hedge
BetStakeOdds
Profit and loss by outcome — equal-profit hedge
ScenarioOriginal Bet P&LHedge Bet P&LCombined Total

Biased Toward Original Bet

Bet slip — break-even if the hedge bet wins
BetStakeOdds
Profit and loss by outcome — break-even if the hedge bet wins
ScenarioOriginal Bet P&LHedge Bet P&LCombined Total

Biased Toward Hedge Bet

Bet slip — break-even if the original bet wins
BetStakeOdds
Profit and loss by outcome — break-even if the original bet wins
ScenarioOriginal Bet P&LHedge Bet P&LCombined Total

No Hedge — EV Baseline (Reference Only)

Reference Only — No Hedge Is Placed

Outcomes with no hedge placed
ScenarioNet Outcome

Implied EV (based on entered odds):

Expected value uses implied probabilities derived from the entered odds, normalized to sum to 100% across both outcomes. This may differ from a true expected value if the odds do not accurately reflect actual win probabilities.
Strategy Profit/Loss Comparison
If Original Bet Wins (solid bar) If Hedge Bet Wins (striped bar) Profit (+) Loss (−)
−$200.00$0.00+$200.00
Data table of combined net profit or loss by strategy and outcome
StrategyCombined net if original bet winsCombined net if hedge bet wins

Introduction

A hedge bet is a second bet you place on the other side of a game. It helps you win money no matter who wins. This hedge calculator shows you how much to bet on that other side.

Say you bet $100 on a team at +200. That team is now one win away from a big payout. You could wait and hope. Or you could bet on the other team and lock in a sure profit. The calculator does the math for you in seconds.

Just type in three things: your first stake, the odds on your first bet, and the odds on the hedge bet. You can use American odds like +200 and −150, or decimal odds like 3.00 and 1.67 — our odds calculator can help you convert between formats. The slider lets you hedge part of the way if you want to keep some risk.

You will see your hedge stake, your locked-in profit, and what happens with each result. The tool also shows other plans, like betting less to keep more upside, or betting more to protect your cash. A chart and a step-by-step guide show how each number was found, so you can check the work yourself.

How to use our Hedge Calculator

Enter your first bet's stake and odds, then the odds on the other side. The hedge calculator shows how much to bet to hedge, your guaranteed profit, and the payout for each outcome.

Odds Format: Pick American (like +150 or −120) or Decimal (like 2.50 or 1.83). If you already typed odds, they change over to the new format for you.

Original Stake: Type the dollar amount you bet on your first ticket, such as 100.00.

Original Bet Odds: Type the price you got when you placed that first bet, such as +200. Use the betting odds calculator if you need to check the payout on that ticket first.

Hedge Bet Odds: Type the current price on the opposite outcome, such as −150. This is the bet you would place now to lock in a profit.

Hedge Percentage: Slide to pick how much of the full hedge you want to place. 100% means a full hedge, so both outcomes pay the same. A lower number means you keep more upside if your first bet wins.

Calculate and Reset: Click Calculate to see your results, or Reset to start over with the sample numbers.

What Is Hedging in Sports Betting?

Hedging means placing a second bet on the other side of a bet you already made. The new bet is called the hedge. It lowers your risk. If your first bet loses, the hedge wins and pays you back some or all of your money. If your first bet wins, you still win, but you win a little less because the hedge cost you money. A basic bet calculator shows what a single ticket returns; this tool shows what both tickets return together.

When Bettors Hedge

Hedging is most common with futures bets and parlays. Say you bet $100 on a team to win the championship at +2000 before the season. Now that team is in the final game. You can bet on their opponent to lock in a profit no matter who wins. Bettors also hedge live bets when odds move in their favor during a game. If your ticket has several legs still live, run it through the parlay calculator first to see the exact payout you are protecting, and the round robin calculator if you split those legs across many tickets.

How the Math Works

Every bet has odds, and odds can be turned into decimal form. Decimal odds show how much you get back for each $1 risked, including your stake. The full hedge stake is found by multiplying your original stake by your original decimal odds, then dividing by the hedge odds. That amount gives you the same profit on both sides. Bet less than that amount and you keep more upside on your first bet. Bet more and you lean toward the hedge side.

Guaranteed Profit and Arbitrage

A hedge only locks in profit when your original odds are much better than the current hedge odds. If both prices are close, hedging can lock in a small loss instead. That still can be smart, because a small sure loss beats a big possible loss. When the two prices together add up to less than 100% implied probability, that is called arbitrage, and both sides pay a profit. The surebet calculator and the arbitrage calculator are built for spotting those two-sided opportunities from scratch.

Implied Probability and Vig

Implied probability is the chance a price suggests. Divide 1 by the decimal odds and multiply by 100. Add both sides together. Anything over 100% is the sportsbook's built-in fee, called the vig or juice. Higher vig makes hedging cost more, so shopping for the best hedge price at another book puts more money in your pocket. Strip the juice out of any market with the no vig calculator to see the fair price behind the numbers.

Things to Watch

Hedging trims your long-term expected value, since you pay the vig twice. It is a tool for protecting a big payout, not a way to beat the book. Check the trade-off with an EV calculator, and size your unhedged bets with the Kelly Criterion calculator so you rarely need a panic hedge. Also check that both bets truly cover opposite results. Ties, pushes, and canceled games can break a hedge and leave you exposed on both bets. If your hedge comes from a promo, the free bet calculator handles stake-not-returned pricing.


Formulas used

American to decimal odds conversion
D = \begin{cases} \dfrac{A}{100} + 1 & A > 0 \\[6pt] \dfrac{100}{|A|} + 1 & A < 0 \end{cases}
Equal-profit (full) hedge stake
H^{*} = \frac{S \times D_1}{D_2}
Applied hedge stake at hedge percentage
H = H^{*} \times \frac{p}{100}
Net result if original bet wins
\text{Net}_{\text{orig}} = S(D_1 - 1) - H
Net result if hedge bet wins
\text{Net}_{\text{hedge}} = H(D_2 - 1) - S
Alternative hedge stake sizings
H_{2A} = \frac{S}{D_2 - 1},\quad H_{2B} = \frac{S(D_1 - 1)}{D_2},\quad H_{3A} = S(D_1 - 1),\quad H_{3B} = S \cdot D_1
Implied probabilities and market vig
P_1 = \frac{100}{D_1},\quad P_2 = \frac{100}{D_2},\quad \text{Vig} = \left(\frac{1}{D_1} + \frac{1}{D_2} - 1\right) \times 100
Expected value with no hedge (normalized probabilities)
EV = \frac{1/D_1}{\frac{1}{D_1} + \frac{1}{D_2}} \cdot S(D_1 - 1) + \frac{1/D_2}{\frac{1}{D_1} + \frac{1}{D_2}} \cdot (-S)

Frequently asked questions

How much money do I need to place the hedge?

Look at the Recommended Hedge Stake card. That is the full hedge amount at 100%. It is new money, on top of the stake you already risked on your first bet. The stake is not taken out of your first ticket.

What does the hedge percentage slider actually change?

It sets how much of the full hedge you place.

  • 100% — same profit either way.
  • 50% — half hedge, so you win more if your first bet wins and less if it loses.
  • 0% — no hedge at all.

The outcome panels, strategy tables, and chart all update as you slide.

Why do the top cards stay the same when I move the slider?

The two cards marked Full Hedge Reference (100%) always show the full hedge on purpose. They give you a fixed point to compare against. The Outcome Breakdown section below them uses the percentage you picked.

Why is my guaranteed profit a minus number?

The hedge price is not good enough to cover your first bet. Both sides end in a small loss. That is not a bug. A small sure loss can still beat losing your whole stake, so many bettors take it. Shop other books for a better hedge price first.

Which strategy should I pick?

It depends on your goal.

  • Strategy 1 — same money either way. Safest.
  • Strategy 2A/2B — smaller hedge. You keep more upside if your first bet wins.
  • Strategy 3A/3B — bigger hedge. Better if the hedge side wins, worse if your first bet wins.

What does Break-Even on Hedge Win mean?

It is a smaller hedge sized so you walk away even, not down, if the hedge bet wins. If your first bet wins instead, you keep a bigger profit than a full hedge would give you.

What does Break-Even on Original Win mean?

It is a larger hedge sized so you end at $0 if your first bet wins. Everything you gain comes from the hedge side. Use it only when you think your first bet is likely to lose.

Why does Strategy 3 show a warning?

Both Strategy 3 plans bet more than the equal-profit hedge. If your original bet wins, 3A leaves you at zero and 3B leaves you down the same amount as never hedging. The warning makes sure you see that before you bet.

What is the No Hedge — EV Baseline for?

It shows what happens if you place no hedge at all. Use it to compare. If a strategy pays less than the baseline on both sides, the hedge is costing you more than it protects.

Do I enter today's price or the price on my ticket?

For Original Bet Odds, enter the price printed on your ticket, not today's price. For Hedge Bet Odds, enter the price you can get right now on the other side.

How do I hedge a parlay or a futures ticket?

Enter your parlay stake and the full parlay odds as the original bet. Then enter the odds on the side that would beat your last leg. The tool treats the whole ticket as one bet.

Can I round the hedge stake to a whole dollar?

Yes. Most books do not take odd cents. Rounding down keeps a little more profit if your first bet wins. Rounding up keeps a little more if the hedge wins. The change is usually only a few cents either way.

The hedge odds moved before I placed the bet. What now?

Type the new odds in and hit Calculate again. Odds move fast, so always check the number right before you place the bet. A worse hedge price means a bigger stake for the same profit.

Does this work for games that can end in a draw?

The calculator handles two outcomes only. In a three-way market like soccer, a draw would lose both bets. Hedge on a two-way market instead, such as the moneyline with the draw removed, or cover the draw with a third bet.

Can I use a free bet or bonus bet as my hedge?

Not here. Free bets do not return the stake, so the payout is smaller than this tool shows. Use a free bet calculator for that price, then hedge with cash.

Why does it say my odds are invalid?

Check the format button at the top. American odds must be +100 or higher, or −100 or lower. Decimal odds must be above 1.00. Prices like +50 or 0.85 do not exist, so the box turns red.

Does the calculator include taxes, fees, or cash-out offers?

No. It shows raw bet math only. Taxes, withdrawal fees, and sportsbook cash-out offers are not counted. Compare any cash-out offer to the numbers here before you take it.

What does the bar chart show?

Two bars for each plan. The solid bar is your net if the first bet wins. The striped bar is your net if the hedge wins. Blue bars are profit, red bars are loss. It is the fastest way to compare every strategy at once.