Health calculators

ASCVD Risk Calculator

Updated Jun 28, 2026 By Jehan Wadia
Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE): Estimates 10-year and lifetime risk of hard atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (heart attack or stroke) using the traditional 2013 ACC/AHA equations.
Patient Information
10-year risk is validated for ages 40–79. Lifetime risk is valid for ages 20–59.
Enter an age between 20 and 79.
Race/ethnicity may or may not improve estimates. These equations may underestimate risk for American Indians, some South Asian and Puerto Rican individuals, and may overestimate risk for some East Asian and Mexican American individuals.
Clinical Measurements
Norm: 150–200 mg/dL
Out of range.
Norm: 40–60 mg/dL
Out of range.
Norm: 90–120 mmHg
Enter 90–200 mmHg.
Norm: 60–80 mmHg
Enter 60–130 mmHg.
Medical History

10-Year ASCVD Risk

Lifetime ASCVD Risk

Summary & Recommendation

Therapy Scenario Projections

Model the projected 10-year risk if interventions were introduced. Adjust the three scenarios below.

Full Combinations Comparison

StatinBP MedStop SmokingAspirinProjected 10-yr RiskCategory

Step-by-Step Solution


Introduction

Heart attack and stroke are leading causes of death worldwide. Doctors use ASCVD risk calculators to estimate how likely a person is to have one of these events in the next 10 years or over a lifetime. ASCVD stands for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, which happens when fat and cholesterol build up inside the arteries and block blood flow to the heart or brain.

This calculator supports two trusted risk models. The Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE), developed by the ACC/AHA in 2013, estimate 10-year and lifetime risk using age, sex, cholesterol levels, blood pressure, diabetes status, and smoking history. The PREVENT™ equations, released by the AHA in 2023, go further by also factoring in BMI, kidney function (eGFR), and heart failure risk. Both tools help patients and clinicians decide when lifestyle changes or medications like statins may be needed.

Enter your health information below, and the calculator will show your estimated risk, a color-coded risk category, therapy projections, and a full step-by-step breakdown of how the result was calculated. This tool is for educational purposes and should not replace advice from your doctor.

How to Use Our ASCVD Risk Calculator

Enter your health details below to estimate your risk of heart attack or stroke. This calculator offers two modes: the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) from the 2013 ACC/AHA guidelines and the PREVENT™ model from the 2023 AHA guidelines. You will get a 10-year risk score, a risk category, treatment scenarios, and step-by-step math for each result.

Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) Mode

Sex: Choose Male or Female. The calculator uses different equations for each sex.

Age: Enter the patient's age in years. The 10-year risk works for ages 40 to 79. The lifetime risk works for ages 20 to 59.

Race / Ethnicity: Choose White, African American, or Other. This is optional but may affect the estimate. Other races will use the White coefficients.

Total Cholesterol: Enter the total cholesterol level. You can switch between mg/dL and mmol/L using the unit toggle. Normal range is 150 to 200 mg/dL. You can also use our Cholesterol Ratio Calculator to evaluate the relationship between your total and HDL cholesterol.

HDL Cholesterol: Enter the HDL ("good") cholesterol level. You can switch between mg/dL and mmol/L. Normal range is 40 to 60 mg/dL.

Systolic Blood Pressure: Enter the top number from a blood pressure reading in mmHg. Normal is 90 to 120 mmHg. If you need to evaluate your overall blood pressure profile, our MAP Calculator can help you determine your mean arterial pressure.

Diastolic Blood Pressure: Enter the bottom number from a blood pressure reading in mmHg. Normal is 60 to 80 mmHg.

Treatment for Hypertension: Select Yes if the patient currently takes blood pressure medication. Select No if they do not.

Diabetes: Select Yes if the patient has been diagnosed with diabetes. Select No if they have not.

Smoking Status: Choose Never, Current, or Former. If Former is selected, you will also pick how long ago the patient quit smoking.

PREVENT™ Mode

Sex: Choose Male or Female.

Age: Enter the patient's age in years. The 10-year risk works for ages 30 to 79. The 30-year risk works for ages 30 to 59.

Total Cholesterol: Enter the total cholesterol level in mg/dL or mmol/L.

HDL Cholesterol: Enter the HDL cholesterol level in mg/dL or mmol/L.

Systolic Blood Pressure: Enter the top number from a blood pressure reading in mmHg.

BMI: Enter the patient's body mass index in kg/m². If you do not know the BMI, click the "Calculate BMI" link and enter the patient's weight and height to compute it. You can also use our standalone BMI Calculator for a more detailed assessment including BMI category and healthy weight range.

eGFR: Enter the estimated glomerular filtration rate in mL/min/1.73 m². This measures kidney function. Normal is 60 or above. You can estimate this value using our GFR Calculator if you have the patient's serum creatinine level. Our Creatinine Clearance Calculator can also help assess kidney function.

Lipid-Lowering Medication: Select Yes if the patient takes a statin or other cholesterol-lowering drug. Select No if they do not.

Anti-Hypertensive Medication: Select Yes if the patient takes blood pressure medication. Select No if they do not.

Diabetes: Select Yes if the patient has diabetes. Select No if they do not.

Currently Smoking: Select Yes if the patient smokes now. Select No if they do not.

Optional Advanced Predictors: You may toggle on UACR (urine albumin-creatinine ratio), HbA1c, or ZIP code for a more detailed estimate. These are not required. If you need to convert between HbA1c and average blood glucose, our A1C Calculator can help.

Outcomes to Calculate: Check one or more boxes to choose which results you want: ASCVD, Heart Failure, or Total CVD. At least one must be selected.

After filling in the fields, press the Calculate button to see your results. Press Reset to clear all inputs and start over.

What Is the ASCVD Risk Calculator?

ASCVD stands for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. This is a condition where fatty deposits called plaque build up inside your arteries. Over time, plaque hardens and narrows the arteries. This can lead to a heart attack or stroke.

This calculator estimates the chance that a person will have a heart attack or stroke within the next 10 years or over their lifetime. Doctors use this number to decide whether a patient needs medicine like statins or blood pressure drugs, or if lifestyle changes alone are enough. For a broader perspective on long-term health, you may also find our Life Expectancy Calculator useful.

Two Risk Equations

This tool includes two well-known risk models:

  • Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE): Created in 2013 by the ACC and AHA. It uses age, sex, race, cholesterol levels, blood pressure, diabetes status, and smoking history to calculate 10-year and lifetime ASCVD risk.
  • PREVENT™: A newer model from the AHA released in 2023. It adds kidney function (eGFR) and body mass index (BMI) to the calculation. It can also estimate the risk of heart failure and total cardiovascular disease, not just heart attack and stroke. It provides both 10-year and 30-year risk estimates.

What the Results Mean

Your 10-year ASCVD risk score falls into one of four groups:

  • Low risk: Less than 5%. Focus on healthy habits.
  • Borderline risk: 5% to 7.4%. Talk to your doctor about risk factors that could raise your score.
  • Intermediate risk: 7.5% to 19.9%. Statin therapy and lifestyle changes may be recommended.
  • High risk: 20% or higher. Strong treatment with medication is usually advised.

Key Risk Factors

The main factors that increase ASCVD risk include high cholesterol, high blood pressure, diabetes, smoking, and older age. The PREVENT model also considers obesity and poor kidney function. Many of these risk factors can be improved with diet, exercise, and medicine. Tracking your daily nutrition with a Calorie Calculator or setting targets with a Macro Calculator can support heart-healthy eating habits. Monitoring your exercise intensity with a Heart Rate Zone Calculator or Target Heart Rate Calculator can help you get the most cardiovascular benefit from physical activity. If weight management is part of your plan, our Weight Loss Calculator and Body Fat Calculator can help you set and track realistic goals. You can also evaluate central obesity using the Waist to Hip Ratio Calculator, which is recognized as a risk-enhancing factor for cardiovascular disease.

This calculator is meant for adults who have not already been diagnosed with cardiovascular disease. It is a screening tool, not a diagnosis. Always share your results with your doctor before making any health decisions.


Formulas used

PCE 10-Year ASCVD Risk (Cox Survival Model)
R_{10} = 1 - S_0^{\,e^{(\text{LP} - \overline{\text{LP}})}}
PCE Linear Predictor
\text{LP} = \beta_1 \ln(\text{Age}) + \beta_2 [\ln(\text{Age})]^2 + \beta_3 \ln(\text{TC}) + \beta_4 \ln(\text{Age})\cdot\ln(\text{TC}) + \beta_5 \ln(\text{HDL}) + \beta_6 \ln(\text{Age})\cdot\ln(\text{HDL}) + \beta_7 \ln(\text{SBP}) + \beta_8 \ln(\text{Age})\cdot\ln(\text{SBP}) + \beta_9 \cdot \text{Smoke} + \beta_{10} \ln(\text{Age})\cdot\text{Smoke} + \beta_{11} \cdot \text{DM}
PREVENT Risk (Logistic Model)
R = \frac{e^{\text{LP}}}{1 + e^{\text{LP}}}
PREVENT Linear Predictor with Centered Variables and Interactions
\text{LP} = \beta_0 + \sum_i \beta_i \, x_i + \sum_{i,j} \beta_{ij} \, x_i \cdot x_j
Therapy Projected Risk (Multiplicative Relative Risk Reduction)
R_{\text{proj}} = R_{\text{base}} \times \prod_{i \in \text{selected}} \text{RRR}_i
BMI Calculation
\text{BMI} = \frac{w \;(\text{kg})}{h^2 \;(\text{m}^2)}

Frequently asked questions

What does ASCVD stand for?

ASCVD stands for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. It is a condition where plaque builds up inside your arteries. This can block blood flow and lead to a heart attack or stroke.

What is a good ASCVD risk score?

A score below 5% is considered low risk. This means you have less than a 5 in 100 chance of having a heart attack or stroke in the next 10 years. The lower your score, the better.

What is the difference between PCE and PREVENT?

The Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) were created in 2013 and use cholesterol, blood pressure, diabetes, smoking, age, sex, and race. The PREVENT™ model came out in 2023 and adds BMI, kidney function, and heart failure risk. PREVENT does not use race and also gives a 30-year risk estimate.

Which mode should I use, PCE or PREVENT?

If your doctor follows the 2013 ACC/AHA guidelines, use PCE. If your doctor uses the newer 2023 AHA guidelines or you want to include kidney function and BMI, use PREVENT. You can run both and compare. Ask your doctor which is best for you.

Why does the PCE calculator ask for race but PREVENT does not?

The 2013 PCE model was built using separate equations for White and African American patients. The 2023 PREVENT model was designed to work without race as an input. The AHA chose this approach because race is a social category, not a biological one, and the newer model uses clinical measures like BMI and eGFR instead.

Can I use this calculator if I already have heart disease?

No. Both the PCE and PREVENT models are made for people who have not been diagnosed with cardiovascular disease. If you already have heart disease, your doctor will use different tools to manage your care.

What age range does the calculator work for?

For the PCE, 10-year risk works for ages 40 to 79, and lifetime risk works for ages 20 to 59. For PREVENT, 10-year risk works for ages 30 to 79, and 30-year risk works for ages 30 to 59.

What is eGFR and why does PREVENT need it?

eGFR stands for estimated glomerular filtration rate. It measures how well your kidneys filter waste from your blood. Poor kidney function raises cardiovascular risk, so the PREVENT model includes it for a more accurate estimate. A normal eGFR is 60 or above.

How do I switch between mg/dL and mmol/L for cholesterol?

Click the mg/dL or mmol/L button below the cholesterol input field. The calculator will automatically convert your entered value to the new unit.

What are the therapy scenario projections?

The therapy scenarios show how your 10-year risk might change if you start treatments like statin therapy, blood pressure medication, aspirin, or quit smoking. You can check or uncheck each option to see how different combinations could lower your risk.

How accurate are these projections for statin or blood pressure therapy?

The therapy projections use average relative risk reductions from large clinical trials. They give a rough estimate, not an exact prediction. Your actual benefit depends on the specific drug, dose, and your overall health. Talk to your doctor for a personalized plan.

What does the color-coded risk bar mean?

The bar shows four zones. Green is low risk (below 5%). Yellow is borderline (5% to 7.4%). Orange is intermediate (7.5% to 19.9%). Red is high risk (20% or more). Your score is marked with an arrow, and the optimal score is shown with a diamond.

What are risk-enhancing factors?

These are extra conditions that may push your true risk higher than the calculator shows. Examples include a family history of early heart disease, high Lp(a), chronic kidney disease, and inflammatory conditions like rheumatoid arthritis. Your doctor may use these to decide if you need treatment even if your score is borderline.

What is the difference between 10-year risk and lifetime risk?

10-year risk estimates your chance of a heart attack or stroke in the next 10 years. Lifetime risk (PCE) or 30-year risk (PREVENT) looks further ahead. A young person may have a low 10-year risk but a high lifetime risk if they have untreated risk factors.

Does the calculator include heart failure risk?

Only the PREVENT mode can estimate heart failure risk. The PCE mode only estimates the risk of heart attack and stroke. In PREVENT mode, you can check the Heart Failure box under outcomes to see this result.

What is Total CVD in the PREVENT calculator?

Total CVD combines the risk of ASCVD (heart attack and stroke) and heart failure into one number. It gives you a broader picture of overall cardiovascular risk.

What should I do if my ASCVD risk is high?

Talk to your doctor. A high risk score (20% or more) usually means your doctor will recommend high-intensity statin therapy and strong lifestyle changes like improving your diet, exercising more, quitting smoking, and controlling blood pressure and blood sugar.

Does quitting smoking lower my ASCVD risk?

Yes. Quitting smoking is one of the most effective ways to lower cardiovascular risk. The calculator even lets former smokers enter how long ago they quit. The longer you have been smoke-free, the lower your risk drops.

What are the optional advanced predictors in PREVENT mode?

You can optionally add UACR (a measure of protein in your urine), HbA1c (average blood sugar over 2 to 3 months), and ZIP code (used to estimate social deprivation). These may improve the accuracy of your risk estimate but are not required.

Can I use this calculator on my phone?

Yes. The calculator is designed to work on phones, tablets, and computers. All buttons, fields, and charts adjust to fit your screen size.

Is this calculator a substitute for seeing a doctor?

No. This tool is for educational purposes only. It gives an estimate based on population-level data. Your doctor can consider your full medical history, family history, and other tests to give you personalized advice. Always share your results with your healthcare provider.

What does the step-by-step solution show?

The step-by-step section shows the exact math the calculator uses. It walks through how your inputs are transformed, which coefficients are applied, and how the final risk percentage is computed. This is useful for medical students, clinicians, or anyone who wants to verify the result.

Why does the calculator show different results for men and women?

Men and women have different baseline rates of heart disease. The PCE and PREVENT models use separate sets of coefficients for each sex to produce more accurate risk estimates.

What cholesterol numbers do I need for this calculator?

You need your total cholesterol and HDL cholesterol levels. These are found on a standard lipid panel blood test. You do not need LDL cholesterol or triglycerides for this calculator.

What does it mean if my 10-year risk says N/A?

This means your age is outside the valid range for that calculation. For example, in PCE mode, 10-year risk only works for ages 40 to 79. If you are younger than 40, the calculator will still show your lifetime risk if you are between 20 and 59.